NL East: With playoffs in sight, Braves make a switch at short
Baseball Betting Lines
07/16/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It appears as though the Atlanta Braves got tired of
waiting for Yunel Escobar.
The Braves dealt the 27-year-old shortstop to the Blue Jays on Wednesday in a
five-player trade that sent 33-year-old Alex Gonzalez to the Braves. Atlanta
also shipped 25-year-old pitcher Jo-Jo Reyes to Toronto for the shortstop
while getting back a pair of minor league players in the deal as well.
Escobar was a second-round pick of the Braves in 2005 and showed flashes of
being a solid player for Atlanta. He hit .299 last season with 14 homers and
76 RBI, but was batting only .238 in 2010 with 19 RBI and zero home runs this
year before the trade and has before taken heat due to his inability to mature
and grow on the field. Escobar has at times looked lazy on defense and was
prone to making mental mistakes.
Currently the owners of first place in the National League East, the Braves
decided to part ways with a young talent in exchange for a veteran presence at
short in Gonzalez as they look to make a playoff run in manager Bobby Cox's
final season before retirement.
"We have been looking at ways to strengthen our club offensively and Alex
Gonzalez is a proven veteran player who gives us added power," said Braves
general manager Frank Wren. "He is a winner and a solid offensive presence in
the lineup as well as a quality defensive shortstop."
A member of the 2003 Florida Marlins championship club, Gonzalez was hitting
.259 this year with 17 home runs and 50 RBI with the Blue Jays. His trade to
the Braves marks his fifth different team since making his debut in 1998. The
right-handed hitter has also played with the Marlins, Red Sox and Reds in
addition to the Blue Jays.
Gonzalez went 1-for-3 with a double and a walk in his Atlanta debut on
Thursday, a 2-1 win over the Milwaukee Brewers.
MARLINS: RAMIREZ, JOHNSON SHINE AT ALL-STAR GAME
They may have some ground to make up if they want to compete for a playoff
spot, but that didn't stop some of the Florida Marlins from making a name for
themselves at this past week's All-Star Game.
The Marlins have a pair of representatives in Anaheim in shortstop Hanley
Ramirez and pitcher Josh Johnson. Ramirez was voted in to start at short for
the Mid-Summer classic, but his biggest impact came at Monday's Home Run
Derby.
Ramirez had 13 homers at the break, but belted a total of 26 during the event.
The 26-year-old made it to the finals, but hit just five in the final round to
finish second behind Boston's David Ortiz.
"The most important thing tonight is that we were all rooting for each other,"
Ramirez told MLB.com. "Nobody was rooting for himself. We had fun."
It was then Johnson's turn to shine during Tuesday's game. Though given
serious consideration to start, Johnson entered the game in the third inning
after Colorado's Ubaldo Jimenez threw the first two frames. The right-handed
Johnson didn't allow a hit in his two innings of work, striking out two while
throwing 18 of his 29 pitches for strikes.
Considered a contender for this year's NL Cy Young Award, Johnson went 9-3 in
the first half and led the majors with a 1.70 earned run average while
striking out 123 batters over 122 innings.
NATIONALS: CLOSER HELPS CAP NL ALL-STAR VICTORY
The rule in major league baseball has always been that every team must be
represented at the annual All-Star Game. That means even last-place clubs that
are 11 games under .500 at the break get represented at the Mid-Summer
Classic, which is why Nationals closer Matt Capps found himself among
baseball's elite in Anaheim this week.
Capps earned the All-Star nod over teammates Ryan Zimmerman and Adam Dunn, who
both could have made a case to serve as Washington's representative, but don't
think Capps wasn't worthy either. The 26-year-old is tied for third in the NL
with 23 saves and is just four shy of matching the 27 he posted last season
with Pittsburgh.
In his first year with the Nationals, Capps is 3-3 with a 3.18 earned run
average in 41 games. He has also been charged with four blown saves, but was
credited with the win in Tuesday's 3-1 victory over the American League. The
right-hander faced just one batter, but struck out Boston's David Ortiz to end
the sixth inning with a runner on first base.
"It feels pretty good," Capps told MLB.com after the game. "I just came in to
face one hitter. The guys did a great job of putting some runs up later. ...
It worked out well, I'm very pleased with it, excited about it."
There was some rumblings out there, mostly by the media, that starter Stephen
Strasburg should have been named to the All-Star roster. While the soon-to-be
22-year-old has lived up to his epic hype so far, going 3-2 with a 2.32 ERA
and 61 strikeouts in 42 2/3 innings, the bottom line is that the phenom has
made just seven major league starts.
His time to run with the All-Stars will come soon enough.
PHILLIES: HOWARD GETTING HOT
While the Philadelphia Phillies' offense continues to run warm and cool, All-
Star first baseman Ryan Howard is doing his best to stay at one temperature:
hot.
Howard hit a pair of two-run homers in Thursday's loss to the Chicago Cubs,
giving him a National League-leading 69 runs batted in heading into play on
Friday as well as 19 homers and a .298 batting average. The left-handed
slugger is on pace for his highest season average since a .313 clip during his
2006 MVP season.
The 30-year-old has driven in 14 runs over his last 10 games, belting four
homers in that span.
Howard could use some help though. While the Phillies continue to play without
second baseman Chase Utley (right thumb) and third baseman Placido Polanco
(left elbow), outfielder Shane Victorino is hitting just .252 while shortstop
Jimmy Rollins has a current average of .248.
Polanco, who was hitting .318 before going on the disabled list, could return
before the end of this weekend.
"He might be," Phillies manager Charlie Manuel told Philadelphia's website on
Thursday. "We'll see. He might join us in a couple days -- hopefully will.
We'll see how it goes."
METS: BELTRAN RETURNS
The New York Mets know they need a little something extra if they are to catch
the first-place Atlanta Braves in the National League East.
Enter Carlos Beltran.
The 33-year-old returned to center field on Thursday versus the Giants, his
first major league game this season. Offseason knee surgery caused Beltran to
miss all of spring training and the first half of this season.
Beltran didn't have it easy in his return as he faced two-time defending NL Cy
Young Award winner Tim Lincecum, who threw a six-hit shutout versus the Mets.
Beltran went 1-for-4 in the 2-0 loss and was also thrown out trying to steal
second.
"I thought he had some good at-bats, for the first time facing a major league
pitcher of that stature," said Mets manager Jerry Manuel.
A five-time All-Star, Beltran was limited to just 81 games last year due to
injury, but hit .325 with 10 homers with 48 RBI. In 161 games in 2008, he
batted .284 with 27 homers and 112 RBI.
A healthy Beltran should take some pressure off teammates David Wright and
rookie Ike Davis. Beltran hit between the two on Thursday, with Davis shifting
down to the fifth spot, while Jason Bay hit sixth.
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NFL Football Betting Online
Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
Pacific-10 Conference odds
Teams that should be in: Stanford
Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.
Should be in:
Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.
| Southeastern Conference odds |
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State
It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.
Work left to do:
Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.
Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.
Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.
Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile. |
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