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Aggies to try and knock top-ranked Jayhawks from lofty perch

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/12/2010 - Kansas City, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The top-ranked Kansas Jayhawks and the 23rd-ranked Texas A&M Aggies are slated to do battle in the semifinal round of the 2010 Big 12 Conference Tournament.

The winner of this contest will advance to Saturday's title game to challenge either Baylor or Kansas State.

Fourth-seeded Texas A&M disposed of 12th-seeded Nebraska by a score of 70-64 on Thursday. Still, the team has only won four of the 17 Big 12 Conference Tournament games it has played and is still in search of its first league crown. The Aggies are certainly playing with a great deal of confidence right now, as they closed out the regular season with three consecutive wins and currently own a 23-8 overall record.

Kansas, the top seed in this tournament, knocked off Texas Tech in yesterday's quarterfinal round by an 80-68 final, the 2,000th win in the history of the program. The Jayhawks have captured six Big 12 Tournament titles, at least twice as many as any other active member of the league. They captured three consecutive crowns from 2006-08, and they are 26-7 all-time in this event. At 30-2 overall, Bill Self's squad was highly impressive during the regular season and a favorite to claim the national title for the second time in three years.

The Jayhawks recorded a 59-54 road win over the Aggies in the only regular- season meeting between these two teams, and Kansas owns a 15-1 series advantage over Texas A&M.

Taking a look at yesterday's win over Nebraska, Texas A&M led by nine points at intermission but allowed the Cornhuskers to hang around in the second half. The Aggies were outrebounded by a 29-25 margin and permitted the Cornhuskers to shoot 50 percent from the floor. Fortunately for A&M, it was able to knock down nine three-pointers while committing a mere seven turnovers. Donald Sloan came through with 23 points, while Khris Middleton pitched in 17 points. B.J. Holmes added 11 points for the Aggies, who earned a 19-11 edge in points from the foul line. Sloan doesn't possess impressive numbers in assists, rebounds or steals, but his scoring output of 18.0 ppg has been a major key to the success of the Aggies this season. There is not another double-digit scorer on the roster for A&M, but the team is still averaging a respectable 71.9 ppg while limiting foes to 64.4 ppg.

Five players, including four starters, reached double figures in scoring for Kansas in the 12-point victory over Texas Tech yesterday. Sherron Collins, the team's gritty point guard, finished with 19 points and six assists. Xavier Henry added 13 points, while Marcus Morris and Cole Aldrich posted 12 points apiece. Aldrich, the club's center, ripped down 18 rebounds and blocked three shots as well. Markieff Morris came off the bench to register 11 points for the Jayhawks, who earned a 45-34 rebounding advantage and a 24-11 edge in points from the foul line. Overall this season, Kansas is registering 82.2 ppg while holding opponents 63.7 ppg on 37.7 percent shooting. The club is outrebounding foes by nearly seven boards per contest while shooting a stellar 40.7 percent from three-point range. Collins is averaging 15.4 ppg and 4.3 rpg, while Henry provides 13.9 ppg. Marcus Morris brings 12.4 ppg to the floor, and Aldrich checks in with 11.3 ppg, 10.0 rpg and 113 blocks.


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Nashville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The quarterfinal round of the 2010 SEC Tournament pits the Ole Miss Rebels against the Tennessee Volunteers, the nation's 15th-ranked team. The winner of this game will take on either Kentucky or Alabama in S

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Nashville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Quarterfinal-round action of the 2010 SEC Tournament pits the 20th ranked Vanderbilt Commodores against the darkhorse Georgia Bulldogs. The winner will move into the semifinals for a clash with either Mississ

<< UNLV battles BYU in MWC Tournament semifinals
Las Vegas, NV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - In search of revenge for a devastating loss in the last meeting between the two programs, the 14th-ranked BYU Cougars clash with the UNLV Runnin' Rebels tonight in the semifinals of the 11th annual Mountain West

<< Aztecs and Lobos mix it up in Mountain West semis
Las Vegas, NV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Continuing to build on one of the best seasons in program history, the eighth-ranked New Mexico Lobos find themselves in the semifinals of the Mountain West Conference Tournament tonight and will be facing the a

<< Bears and Wildcats meet in Big 12 Tournament semifinals
Kansas City, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The ninth-ranked Kansas State Wildcats and the 21st-ranked Baylor Bears are slated to collide in the semifinal round of the 2010 Big 12 Tournament from the Sprint Center in Kansas City. Awaiting the winner

Buckeye State rivals meet in A-10 Tournament >>
Atlantic City, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - In-state rivals clash for the third time this season as the 24th-ranked Xavier Musketeers and the Dayton Flyers take part in the quarterfinals of the 2010 Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament at Boardwalk Hall

Big Ten quarterfinal-round action pits Illini against Badgers >>
Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Quarterfinal action in the Big Ten Tournament will take place this afternoon when the fifth-seeded Illinois Fighting Illini take on the fourth-seeded Wisconsin Badgers at Conseco Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.

Wolverines battle hated Buckeyes in Big Ten tourney >>
Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Big Ten regular season champion Ohio State Buckeyes will open tournament play in a quarterfinal showdown against the eighth-seeded Michigan Wolverines this afternoon in Indianapolis. The Wolverines mov

Gophers and Spatans tee it up in Big Ten Tournament tilt >>
Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Michigan State will begin play in the Big Ten Conference Tournament when the third-seeded Spartans battle the sixth- seeded Minnesota Golden Gophers in the quarterfinal round at Conseco Fieldhouse. The Go

Boilermakers seek revenge in Big Ten Tournament clash with Wildcats >>
Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The second-seeded Purdue Boilermakers will take on the seventh-seeded Northwestern Wildcats this evening in quarterfinal action of the Big Ten Conference Tournament at Conseco Fieldhouse. The Wildcats bega

Betting Football

NFL Football Betting Online

Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.

Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends

We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS.  Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned.  For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go.  As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190).  Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”.   By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet.  For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction.  On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later.  Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick.  Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com

New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors

Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
 New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season. 
 
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls

Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times. 
 
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons

Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season. 
 
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers

In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS. 
 
For even more betting trends for not just the NBA but for all of the major sports, log on to Sportsbook.com and click on “Trends”.  With only two months left in the NBA betting season it is important to be as well informed as possible in order to maximize your profit.  Also for all of you poker players, check out MySportsbook.com’s “WSOP Low Bid Auction”. You could be on your way to Vegas to play against the world’s best poker players for under a buck.

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